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World Cup final predictions – will England win?

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England face Canada at Twickenham on Saturday in the Women’s Rugby World Cup final.

The Red Roses are on a record 32-game winning run and are seeking to win the World Cup for a third time – and for the first since beating Canada in the 2014 final.

Canada are 95% of the way towards their million-dollar fundraising goal entitled ‘Mission: Win Rugby World Cup’ – which was set up to help them compete with the world’s best-funded teams.

John Mitchell’s England, ranked number one in the world, are favourites to win the tournament and will have the support of the majority of the 82,000 fans at a sold-out Twickenham.

However, they will face a side who are arguably in better form and who comfortably dispatched holders New Zealand in the semi-finals.

Will it be England captain Zoe Aldcroft or Canada skipper Alex Tessier who lifts the trophy?

BBC commentators Claire Thomas and Sara Orchard give their views, with predictions and analysis also coming from 2014 World Cup winners Kat Merchant and Maggie Alphonsi, former England wing Ugo Monye and former Canada international Lesley McKenzie.

Women’s Rugby World Cup final: Canada v England

Saturday, 27 September at 16:00 BST

Twickenham

Watch live on BBC One & iPlayer from 15:00 BST

Where will the game be won?

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England’s pack v Canada’s backs.

The Red Roses’ dangerous backline failed to fully click in the semi-final win over France, relying on two individual scores from full-back Ellie Kildunne.

It was the pack and replacements who stepped up in the second half to help secure a final spot, whereas Canada’s backs showed their class by carving up the Black Ferns.

McKenzie: “Canada showed last week they could dispatch the world’s best backline and arguably they now have the world’s best backline.

“Canada have a back three that really like to crash and bang. They love it. How will England show up against that?

“I think it could be a determining factor this weekend.”

Merchant: “England have the best pack in the world. Canada have the second. It is pretty close.

“It is about how you get those backlines functioning.”

Orchard: “England will want a set-piece game. They will be craving scrums and line-outs. They will want to use their kicking game. Canada won’t. They like to run.

“Canada have conceded seven tries this tournament. England have conceded six. Those are the type of stats to hang your hat on as a team.

“This is going to be an incredible defensive match-up. Sometimes finals can be very ugly games and not always pretty games with loads of tries.”

Monye: “How deep can this Canadian starting XV go? How many minutes will they have to play on Saturday? Especially in the pack, those replacements are England’s super strength. I don’t think Canada can go as long or as deep.

“They can’t afford to let the Red Roses’ ‘bomb squad’ [replacements] come on and take it up a gear. It will be such an important aspect of the game.”

‘The performance of a lifetime’ – stars to watch

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England full-back Kildunne and Canada second row Sophie de Goede are the big stars of their respective teams, but who else might have a key role in deciding the winners?

Red Roses centre Meg Jones, who was not involved in the World Cup final defeat by New Zealand in 2022, was nominated for world rugby player of the year on Monday and is in exceptional form.

Canada’s lethal backs Alysha Corrigan and Florence Symonds are also players to keep an eye on.

Orchard: “I remember when Meg Jones announced she was coming back from sevens to 15s [in 2021] and I thought ‘that is the missing part of the puzzle’.

“She is by her nomination one of the best rugby players on the planet. She can do everything. I think we will see the performance of a lifetime come Saturday by Jones.

“She is a player that rises to the occasion on the biggest stage.”

McKenzie: “One of the key players in the Canada backline is centre Florence Symonds. She allows those wingers to play as abrasively.

“She has got great hand speed and is quite physical. Very skilled and balanced.

“Alysha Corrigan on the right wing is unsung in this tournament. She is ferocious in the collision.”

Monye: “I have thought about what would happen if Jones went down injured. She is so integral to the England team.

“She has been nominated as well for all the stuff she does in defence. That is going to be massive come Saturday.”

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Final predictions

Alphonsi: “England will win but it is going to be close. I am going to say by two points.”

Merchant: “England win. They’ve been dominant for so long. Last year they were putting in amazing performances and everything was clicking.

“Watching the WXV tournament, there wasn’t a single team in the world that could beat them on form. The more you’ve seen teams show up this World Cup – like Canada – the more you get worried.”

Orchard: “By hook or by crook it will be ugly, but England will scrap themselves over the line.

“John Mitchell has had this England team for a number of campaigns. This is also his fifth World Cup as a coach – four with different men’s sides.

“He was hired to help manage the occasion and if they don’t come out with the trophy at the end there has got to be a big review and questions asked about the approach.

“The amount of money the RFU (Rugby Football Union) have pumped into women’s rugby – they should be winning a World Cup.”

McKenzie: “Canada. We are aware of the speed and intensity Canada will bring and they will start strongly as they have done throughout the tournament.

“England have not started fast. That is going to be a telling first 20 minutes, but the back 20 minutes are going to be the most impactful.”

Monye: “It will be an open game. When it is 50-50, as an Englishman, I have to say the Red Roses win.”

Thomas: “Canada. They have played much better rugby than England for the past five weeks and I think they have got such a grounded coach in Kevin Rouet and a strong connection.

“I have been convinced by Canada and I haven’t been by England.”

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Worried about the government’s €10m NFL spend? Donohoe says the payout will be ‘immense’

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AS CROKE PARK prepares to host an NFL game this weekend, the government is betting €10 million on the spectacle, with finance minister Paschal Donohoe promising the economic rewards will be huge.

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Minnesota Vikings will meet in Dublin on Sunday in what will be the first regular-season NFL game ever played on the island of Ireland.

Around 75,000 people are expected at the Jones’ Road venue, with government estimates suggesting 30,000 of them will have travelled from abroad, according to Fáilte Ireland and the Department of Tourism.

They have projected that the event will generate €64m in additional economic activity for Ireland, with a direct Exchequer return on the State’s investment of nearly two to one.

The government has invested €9.95 million (before VAT) in hosting the match.

Donohoe said the spend was justified by the scale of international tourism and revenue that the game would bring.

“Yes, significant investment has gone in to delivering this NFL game, but I’m absolutely confident the reward in economic terms will be immense,” he said.

“This is a particular event… because of its ability to attract international and American tourists, some of whom are coming to Dublin for the first time, and that has an additional economic impact that we do have to justify.”

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Last year’s college football clash between Notre Dame and Navy at the Aviva Stadium was valued at €180 million, while the 2022 Nebraska v Northwestern game generated €53.5 million.

Munich’s first NFL game in 2022 produced a boost of just over €70 million.

The high-profile fixture this weekend has faced backlash from local politicians and sports figures, however

Eight-time All-Ireland winner Michael Darragh MacAuley said he would join protests against the event, criticising what he described as the NFL’s close ties with the US military.

“I’m disappointed about it,” he told The 42.

“I’m nearly laughing at myself when I hear some dissenting voices here saying sport and politics doesn’t mix. Try to say that to the NFL and the military.

“I think this is this is an organisation that doesn’t hold a high moral bar to anyone,” MacAuley added.

Some critics have also pointed to US support for Israel’s continued assaults and blockade on Gaza.

Labour councillor Darragh Moriarty warned of the “political and cultural cost” of tying Ireland’s national stadium to the NFL, while Green councillor Janet Horner called the city-wide promotion “ridiculous” and said it prioritised tourists over Dubliners.

People Before Profit TD Ruth Coppinger told the Dáil yesterday that American football was “steeped in militarism, racism and macho culture.”

With reporting from Jane Matthews

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The Traitors is ‘main chat over pints’ – Slane looks to make most of hit RTÉ show

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The winners of The Traitors Ireland, the hit RTÉ reality TV show, may be “traitor slayers” Vanessa Ogbonna, Kelley Higgins and Oyin Adeyemi.

But host venue Slane Castle and the surrounding area in Co Meath have proven to be another star of the show.

Local people want to capitalise on the popularity of the show and hope to reap the rewards of having had the popular traitors – and faithfuls – staying in their midst.

“It absolutely has to be good for Slane,” said Meath County Council Cathaoirleach Wayne Harding, whose family run the Village Inn there.

Harding said the programme had “replaced football as the main chat over pints at the bar”.

“Everyone was commenting on how well Slane looked, so it really has put the village on the map again for a tourist destination and not only as a rock concert venue,” he said.

In the council headquarters all the talk among staff was about whether “any of the contestants were staying in the village or if I had met Paudie”, he said of the popular contestant, the 68-year-old retired prison officer Paudie Moloney.

“It really got the country’s attention and it’s a bit early to say, but I’d bet visitor numbers will be up in the coming months because of the show.”

Slane Castle has introduced tours for the show’s fans, including a visit to “the conclave” where traitors deliberated on which faithful they would “murder” on episodes. It is situated in dungeons not previously opened for 40 years.

Filming the series in March created special memories for the castle’s owner Alex Conyngham of his late father Henry Mount Charles, who had marvelled at the interior renovations for the show just three months before he died.

“He walked around the castle and was just amazed at the sets, especially the round table,” Mr Conyngham said of the decorative wooden table where contestants met nightly to try to weed out a traitor.

“The castle was full of more electrical cables than for a Slane gig with all the cameras and lighting everywhere, and Dad was just delighted how they reinvented the interiors.”

The dungeon used to be a keg store for the castle’s one-time nightclub and was boarded until it was used for the conclave’s late-night “scenes of treachery and murder”.

“It’s an incredible space – completely silent and pitch dark, so it’s perfect for secret scheming,” he said.

It was important to Mr Conyngham and his family that the whole village of Slane and not just the castle reaped any benefits from the hit series.

“I’ve definitely noticed more people stopping at the gates of the castle and taking pictures and the hits on our website and calls to Rock Farm have also increased,” he said, referring to the castle’s organic farm.

Alex Conyngham at Slane Castle, the location for The Traitors Ireland. Photograph: Andres Poveda
Alex Conyngham at Slane Castle, the location for The Traitors Ireland. Photograph: Andres Poveda

He said he hoped the television programme showcased nearby attractions such as the Hill of Slane, kayaking on the river Boyne and Slane Distillery.

Although the castle is only open to events, Mr Conyngham and his wife Carina have recently opened their home to guests who stay in the castle’s bedrooms.

There is also a new “The Traitors Tour Afternoon Tea” experience.

“People enjoy afternoon tea in the ballroom and are given an envelope to say if they are a traitor or a faithful,” he said.

“They can then play a smaller version of the game as they take a tour of the castle and the rooms used in the series, including the infamous dungeon.”

Mr Conyngham even tried on a traitor’s cloak for size.

“You do develop a different persona underneath that hood,” he said with a laugh.

He would not be drawn on whether the castle would host another series.

“I’d be very hopeful; it’s highly likely because of its success, but I can’t confirm anything yet,” he said.

“From a young age we have been used to being sworn to secrecy about concerts at the castle, so we have no problem keeping secrets when it comes to the Traitors Ireland.”

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