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Can ‘Houdini of Middle East’ wriggle out of straitjacket being prepared for him?
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They call Benjamin Netanyahu the Houdini of the Middle East. Can he wriggle out of the straitjacket being prepared for him?
Donald Trump appears to be indicating that time is running out for the Israeli offensive in Gaza.
The Arab and Muslim leaders he met here at the UN General Assembly this week are warning him that his signature foreign policy achievement is in jeopardy because of the war.
The Abraham Accords normalised relations between Israel and the Gulf states, the UAE and Bahrain. But Israeli threats to annexe the West Bank and the relentless campaign in Gaza are threatening to unravel them.
The Trump team have a 21-point Gaza peace plan. Broadly speaking, it envisions the gradual withdrawal of Israeli forces, the release of the hostages, and an international security force in Gaza.
But it also envisions the eventual return of the Palestinian Authority to run Gaza and makes no mention of Israeli settlements. On both points, the plan is at odds with the hopes of Netanyahu’s far-right coalition allies, upon whose support he relies to stay in power.
More than that, judging from his speech at the UN, Netanyahu is in no mood for an end to the war, not yet.
He still wants to “finish off the job”, he says, and is yearning for a “speedy victory”. His generals are less optimistic. Commanders have warned his cabinet that the prospects of total success are limited and there are considerable risks.
There are political considerations, too, driven by Netanyahu’s survival instincts. The sooner the war ends, the greater the likelihood of Netanyahu’s coalition disintegrating and the prime minister facing the reckoning he has long avoided over his blame for October 7th.
Trump has been more than generous in giving Netanyahu leeway to pursue a campaign Israel’s allies lost patience with months ago.
But Trump has a plan now, and the prospect of a breakthrough will be tantalising for a deal-hungry president. Not to mention the peril facing the Abrahamic grand bargain of his first term in office.
Netanyahu is a magician famous for wriggling out of impossible predicaments. But this may be his biggest test yet.
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MSF suspend activity in Gaza City amid Israeli offensive
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Medical charity Doctors without Borders (MSF) has said it had been forced to suspend its work in Gaza City because of the ongoing Israeli offensive there.
The statement came after the Israeli military pressed its offensive against Palestinian Islamist group Hamas in Gaza City, from which hundreds of thousands of people have been forced to flee.
“We have been left with no choice but to stop our activities as our clinics are encircled by Israeli forces,” said Jacob Granger, MSF emergency coordinator in Gaza.
“This is the last thing we wanted, as the needs in Gaza City are enormous, with the most vulnerable people – infants in neo-natal care, those with severe injuries and life-threatening illnesses – unable to move and in grave danger.”
Israel’s military said in a statement that the air force had over the past day “struck over 140 targets throughout the Gaza Strip, including terrorists, tunnel shafts (and) military infrastructure”.
Read More: Ireland to prevent entry of Israeli ministers – Taoiseach
Netanyahu vows to ‘finish the job’
Gaza’s civil defence agency said Israeli forces killed at least 50 people across the Palestinian territory on Friday, as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed in a defiant UN address to “finish the job” against Hamas.
The Israeli military is pressing an offensive against the Palestinian Islamist movement in Gaza City, from which hundreds of thousands have been forced to flee in recent weeks.
The civil defence agency – a rescue force operating under Hamas authority – reported at least 50 people killed across the territory since dawn, 30 of them in Gaza City.
Israel’s military said the air force had during the past day “struck over 140 targets throughout the Gaza Strip, including terrorists, tunnel shafts (and) military infrastructure”.
Footage from Al-Shati refugee camp near Gaza City showed heavy damage to buildings after an air strike.
A barefoot young girl was among those searching through the rubble for belongings. Toppled poles left a web of cables on the ground.
Mr Netanyahu said at the United Nations that the military had “crushed the bulk” of Hamas’s “terror machine” and sought to finish the job “as fast as possible.”
He said his speech was being partially broadcast in Gaza on military loudspeakers.
A statement from his office said the military had “taken over the telephones of Gaza residents and Hamas members”, and that the address was being broadcast live on the devices.
“It’s a lie – we haven’t received any messages or anything on the phone, and we didn’t hear any loudspeakers,” said Randa Hanoun, 30, a displaced Palestinian living in Deir el-Balah in the central Gaza Strip.
“This is just an attempt to stir fear in our hearts and to make us pay attention to Netanyahu’s speech… But we don’t care about his speeches and we don’t want to hear a single word from him.”
Two AFP contributors in southern Gaza and one in Gaza City said they hadn’t heard the speech on the loudspeakers, nor received anything on their phones.
‘Piled on top of each other’
Israel launched its ground offensive on Gaza City on 16 September. The military said yesterday that 700,000 Palestinians had fled the urban hub since late August.
The UN humanitarian office said the displacement of 388,400 people had been recorded since mid-August, most of them from Gaza City.
Um Youssef al-Shaer, a 50-year-old displaced Palestinian living in the tent city of of Al-Mawasi on the Mediterranean coast, told AFP that the area had become overcrowded as more and more Palestinians sought refuge there.
“We are piled on top of each other in a single tent – me, my husband, our six children and my husband’s elderly parents – 10 people in a small tent,” she said.
Over nearly two years, Israeli military operations in Gaza have killed at least 65,549 Palestinians, mostly civilians, according to the health ministry in Hamas-run Gaza, figures the UN considers reliable.
Hamas’s 7 October 2023 attack on Israel that sparked the war resulted in the deaths of 1,219 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on Israeli figures.
Read More: Latest Middle East stories
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Podcast: Rising authoritarianism, Kneecap and Eurovision
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An expert in international relations has told RTÉ’s Behind the Story podcast it is “extremely alarming” that Donald Trump has the full force of the US government behind him for another three years.
Alex Dukalskis, associate professor in the School of Politics and International Relations at UCD, said he believes the US is shifting “more into a dark place” under Mr Trump.
His co-written book – Dictating the Agenda: The Authoritarian Resurgence in World Politics – examines how authoritarian states have repurposed tools and norms, previously used to promote Western-backed liberalism, now turning them against liberal ideas.
Read more:
Trump backs Israel, warns Russia in combative UN speech
Prof Dukalskis said he believes the policies of Mr Trump are actually helping authoritarian regimes.
“It’s accelerating and we are shifting more into a dark place – it’s not completely hopeless [because] liberal democracy is still a very valued norm globally.
“I don’t think it’s hopeless but it’s certainly very alarming”.
‘Catastrophic mistakes’
Prof Dukalskis told David and Evelyn that when the Berlin Wall fell in 1989, the US had “disproportionate global power”.
“The most liberal democratic countries in the world at the time had something like 85% of global GDP – just a dominant status,” he explained.
“The US could at the time really advance the norms it preferred and, crucially, people saw it as a gold standard”.
Prof Dukalskis said a series of “catastrophic mistakes” – such as the invasion of Iraq and the 2010 economic crash – has seen alternatives appear.
“Around that time, you had these non-democratic states that were starting to pedal another model,” he said.
“Recall 2012 was around the time when Xi Jinping took power in China; so you had a new confidence that not only were authoritarian states rising in power, but they increasingly had a good story to tell about the decline of the west”.
Prof Dukalskis said the west’s attempt to draw China into the global economic system has had the opposite effect.
“There was an assumption that globalisation was going to socialise others to be like ‘us’.
“There was no thought given to the idea that the arrow could run in the other direction: that authoritarian states and actors could learn to use the interconnectedness of globalisation to exert points of leverage on liberal democratic societies,” he added.
David and Evelyn also discuss the dismissal of a terrorism charge against Kneecap rapper Mo Chara in the UK, as well as the logistics of an upcoming EBU vote on Israel’s participation in Eurovision.
You can listen to Behind the Story which is available on the RTÉ Radio Player.
You can also find episodes on Apple here, or on Spotify here.
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Labour readmits McDonnell and Begum after benefit cap rebellion
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Ex-shadow chancellor John McDonnell has been readmitted as a Labour MP alongside Apsana Bagum, after a year-long ban for voting against the government on the two-child benefit cap.
They were among seven left-wing MPs who, days after Labour’s 2024 landslide, backed an SNP motion to scrap the cap – which prevents almost all parents from claiming Universal Credit or child tax credit for more than two children.
Six of the MPs have now rejoined Labour, which has softened its stance on the cap in recent months. The seventh suspended MP, Zarah Sultana, resigned from Labour last month to set up a new party with ex-leader Jeremy Corbyn.
Labour has not commented on why the MPs had the whip restored.
Begum used her return to the party to criticise Labour for suspending rebellious MPs.
In a social media post, Begum said: “I will continue to oppose the two-child limit at every opportunity.
“It is unconscionable that other colleagues remain suspended for voting with their conscience against cuts to disability benefits, along with the longest serving Black MP Diane Abbott, while others retain the whip, like Lord Mandelson.
“All I have ever wanted is the chance to serve safely and freely with equal opportunity as an MP.”
Their return to Labour comes seven months after the whip was returned to Richard Burgon, Ian Byrne, Imran Hussain and Rebecca Long-Bailey for their rebellion.
Although the government won the vote comfortably, it marked the first Commons rebellion of Sir Keir Starmer’s premiership.
Some MPs on the right of the Labour Party had been pushing for McDonnell – a long-time ally of Corbyn – to be expelled from the parliamentary party on a more permanent basis.
The two-child cap, introduced under the Conservatives, prevents households on universal or child tax credit from receiving payments for a third or subsequent child born after April 2017.
After winning the 2024 general election, Labour said it was not prepared to make “unfunded promises” by abolishing the cap.
The Resolution Foundation think tank says axing the policy would cost £3.5bn and would lift 470,000 children out of poverty.
McDonnell and Begum’s suspensions ended on Friday following discussions with the new chief whip, Jonathan Reynolds.
It comes as ministers face rising pressure to abolish the cap, with both Labour deputy leadership candidates expressing opposition to the policy, along with voices from outside Parliament such as Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham.
Last week, Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson said scrapping the two-child benefit cap was “on the table”, in the clearest sign yet that ministers could scrap the policy.
Phillipson, who is also running to be deputy leader of the Labour Party, said tackling poverty “brought me into politics” and she would fight on the issue “day, in, day out” if she won the role.
“I am clear that everything is on the table, and that includes removing the two-child limit,” she added.
The issue is expected to be a key theme of Labour’s annual conference, which begins in Liverpool this weekend.
Reform UK has also pledged to scrap the limit if it wins power, although the Conservatives have said getting rid of it is not “economically credible”.
The government’s long-awaited Child Poverty Strategy was expected in spring but has yet to be published.
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